Crusaders vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CRU
4 - 1
LAR
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
COL
3 - 3
CRU
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 0
CRU
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CLI
1 - 0
CRU
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CRU
2 - 3
LIN
22%
21%
57%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
INS
0 - 0
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
CLI
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
INS
0 - 2
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
INS
2 - 0
BAL
44%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 2
INS
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |