Crusaders vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
NEW
2 - 0
CRU
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
CRU
1 - 0
LIM
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
CRU
3 - 1
OMA
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
POR
0 - 0
CRU
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
LIS
3 - 2
CRU
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
LIS
3 - 2
INS
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
INS
3 - 0
LOU
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
CLI
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
COL
2 - 4
INS
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
INS
0 - 1
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |