Crusaders vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LAR
0 - 0
CRU
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
OMA
0 - 3
CRU
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LIN
1 - 0
CRU
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIS
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIM
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
INS
0 - 0
LIN
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
GLE
1 - 0
INS
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 1
INS
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LAR
2 - 4
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
INS
2 - 2
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |