Crusaders vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
CRU
2 - 4
GLE
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
COL
3 - 3
CRU
73%
17%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
CRU
0 - 2
ARD
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
CRU
0 - 4
POR
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
CLI
0 - 1
CRU
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
INS
0 - 0
GLE
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
LIN
2 - 3
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
OMA
3 - 2
INS
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
INS
1 - 5
GLE
30%
27%
44%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
INS
1 - 3
COL
27%
25%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |