Crusaders vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability

1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.4%
Win probability

1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

-6%
-7%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
2º
4º
4º
71
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
83 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
71 | 8 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
![]() |
2º
|
74 | 7 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
![]() |
5º
|
67 | 6 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
![]() |
4º
|
68 | 3 |
5º
|
60% | |
![]() |
6º
|
59 | 2 |
6º
|
60% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
Conference League knock out round
|
44.5% | 55.5% |
Play-offs
|
55.5% | 44.5% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 Apr. 2023 |
CLI
![]() 3 - 3
![]() CRU
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
14 Apr. 2023 |
CRU
![]() 0 - 2
![]() LAR
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
11 Apr. 2023 |
CRU
![]() 3 - 1
![]() COL
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
07 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
![]() 0 - 0
![]() CRU
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
01 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
![]() 0 - 1
![]() CRU
12%
17%
71%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Glentoran

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
![]() 3 - 0
![]() COL
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
15 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
![]() 3 - 0
![]() CLI
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
12 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
![]() 1 - 1
![]() GLE
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
07 Apr. 2023 |
LAR
![]() 2 - 0
![]() GLE
41%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
01 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
![]() 5 - 1
![]() POR
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |