Crusaders vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
CRU
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
CRU
44%
23%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 2
LIS
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
82%
12%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 4
CRU
12%
17%
71%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 0
GLE
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
DON
0 - 1
GLE
24%
24%
52%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GLE
3 - 3
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 0
CLI
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 3
LIS
75%
17%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |