Crusaders vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
CRU
3 - 1
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
CLI
1 - 4
CRU
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
CRU
2 - 0
BAN
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 2
ARD
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
GLE
4 - 0
CRU
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
GLE
2 - 3
GLE
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
GLE
0 - 3
LIN
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
ARD
1 - 4
GLE
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1995 |
POR
3 - 1
GLE
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
GLE
1 - 1
CLI
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |