Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
6º
5º
39
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
CLI
0 - 0
CRU
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 3
CRU
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 0
BAL
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
CRU
17%
20%
63%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
5 - 0
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
1 - 2
LOU
49%
22%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
GLE
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 1
CLI
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
GLE
6 - 0
DOL
72%
16%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |