Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
2 - 1
BAL
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 3
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
CRU
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 2
GLE
23%
22%
55%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 4
GLE
30%
25%
46%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
GLE
2 - 1
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 4
LAR
27%
25%
49%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |