Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
WAR
1 - 4
CRU
20%
22%
59%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +7 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CRU
3 - 0
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 1
CRU
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
GLE
1 - 6
CRU
51%
23%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIN
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 2
GLE
20%
22%
58%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
GLE
0 - 0
BAL
88%
9%
3%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 2
GLE
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
GLE
1 - 6
CRU
51%
23%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |