Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 3
CRU
14%
19%
67%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
CRU
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
CRU
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CRU
4 - 2
GLE
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 0
RRF
94%
5%
1%
|
72 | 17 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 4
GLE
29%
23%
48%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 5
GLE
18%
22%
61%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
GLE
19%
22%
59%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GLE
3 - 3
CLI
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 4
GLE
17%
19%
64%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |