Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 2
CRU
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 1
CLI
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 4
CRU
26%
22%
52%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 2
CLI
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 1
GLE
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 1
GLE
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 1
DER
64%
19%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 1
COL
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |