Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
LIN
2 - 0
CRU
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CRU
4 - 0
COA
71%
17%
13%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GLE
0 - 0
CRU
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 3
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 5
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
GLE
0 - 1
POR
26%
23%
51%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GLE
1 - 3
GLE
26%
25%
50%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 0
GLE
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
56%
22%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 1
COL
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |