Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
OMA
2 - 2
CRU
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
COL
1 - 0
CRU
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
CRU
1 - 3
CLI
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
POR
4 - 1
CRU
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
CRU
0 - 2
GLE
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
COL
2 - 1
GLE
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
CLI
1 - 0
GLE
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
GLE
1 - 4
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
GLE
1 - 0
GLE
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
GLE
1 - 1
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |