Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
GLE
2 - 1
CRU
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
CRU
3 - 2
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
CRU
0 - 0
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1999 |
BAL
1 - 2
CRU
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
CRU
1 - 0
CLI
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1999 |
GLE
2 - 2
POR
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
LIN
3 - 1
GLE
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
GLE
6 - 1
OMA
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
GLE
1 - 1
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1999 |
GLE
1 - 0
GLE
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |