Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
CRU
2 - 0
BAL
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
NEW
0 - 0
CRU
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
CRU
0 - 0
GLE
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
POR
0 - 1
CRU
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
CRU
2 - 1
CLI
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
GLE
1 - 2
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
GLE
5 - 2
GLE
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
GLE
1 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
CLI
2 - 2
GLE
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
GLE
2 - 0
OMA
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |