Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1997 |
POR
0 - 2
CRU
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1996 |
CRU
2 - 1
CLI
68%
19%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
ARD
0 - 0
CRU
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1997 |
CLI
0 - 0
GLE
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
GLE
1 - 0
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
GLE
2 - 1
ARD
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1996 |
COL
1 - 1
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
GLE
2 - 1
LIN
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |