Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
CRU
2 - 1
ZAL
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
ZAL
2 - 0
CRU
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
CRU
3 - 3
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
CLI
2 - 1
CRU
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
CRU
1 - 0
BAN
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
GLE
1 - 3
GLE
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
POR
2 - 1
GLE
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
GLE
1 - 1
CLI
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
BAN
1 - 2
GLE
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |