Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 3-3
Crusaders vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CRU
6 - 1
GLE
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 0
CRU
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
CRU
3 - 2
COL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CLI
2 - 3
CRU
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 0
CRU
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
FKS
1 - 1
LIE
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
LIE
1 - 0
VEN
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
LIE
1 - 0
ZAL
25%
22%
53%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
RIG
2 - 0
LIE
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
LIE
3 - 0
FKJ
43%
27%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |