Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 5-2
Crusaders vs Ekranas Panevezys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CLI
3 - 2
CRU
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 0
CRU
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 3
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ekranas Panevezys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
FKE
3 - 2
KRU
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2014 |
FAS
2 - 0
FKE
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
FKE
2 - 1
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 0
FKE
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
FKE
0 - 2
SUD
38%
25%
38%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |