Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
6º
5º
23
11º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 2
CRU
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
KNO
2 - 4
CRU
8%
15%
77%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CRU
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 1
MAG
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
AUN
4 - 2
DUN
58%
20%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MOY
0 - 2
DUN
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
29%
23%
47%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 3
DUN
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
DER
1 - 2
DUN
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |