Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CLI
3 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
CAR
77%
17%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
CRU
0 - 0
GLE
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 2
CRU
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
21%
22%
57%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 2
LAR
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
DUN
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
DUN
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 1
AUN
31%
23%
46%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +3 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 2
CAR
40%
25%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |