Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CRU
0 - 0
ARD
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
52%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 5
CRU
12%
21%
67%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CRU
3 - 2
MOT
90%
8%
2%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 1
DUN
85%
11%
4%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 1
WAR
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CLI
2 - 1
DUN
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 0
BAL
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 4
DUN
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
ARD
0 - 1
DUN
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |