Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 1
CRU
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 1
LOU
86%
11%
4%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CRU
2 - 1
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
CRU
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CRU
0 - 0
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 2
BAL
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
6 - 2
SYL
62%
20%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 1
DUN
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
4 - 0
COL
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |