Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
COL
2 - 2
CRU
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
NEY
1 - 3
CRU
11%
15%
74%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIN
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 2
BAL
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
CRU
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 3
GLE
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 1
DUN
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 1
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
BAL
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
WAR
2 - 3
DUN
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |