Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
DON
2 - 5
CRU
9%
19%
72%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 0
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 1
CRU
29%
25%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 1
LIS
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CRU
5 - 1
GLE
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
COL
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 1
DUN
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 3
BAL
33%
26%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
LIS
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |