Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
23%
22%
56%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
CRU
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
CRU
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIS
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
COL
3 - 2
DUN
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 4
CLI
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 1
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 3
POR
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 2
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |