Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
BAL
2 - 1
CRU
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
CRU
8 - 0
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
CRU
6 - 2
ARC
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
POR
1 - 2
CRU
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
CRU
1 - 0
POR
34%
24%
41%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 4
GLE
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 0
DUN
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
GLE
1 - 2
DUN
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
DUN
3 - 2
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ARC
2 - 0
DUN
13%
19%
68%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -2 |