Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
COL
1 - 1
CRU
65%
20%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 0
CLI
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
COL
0 - 1
CRU
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
CRU
3 - 1
INS
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LAR
0 - 0
CRU
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 1
LIN
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
OMA
1 - 3
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
DUN
2 - 0
LIS
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
ARD
0 - 2
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIM
63%
20%
16%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |