Crusaders vs Crumlin Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.2%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.8%
2%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
CRU
5 - 1
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 1
CLI
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
CRU
25%
24%
52%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
CRU
4 - 3
BAL
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Crumlin Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CSF
4 - 1
NEW
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
NUF
1 - 2
CSF
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BAN
3 - 0
CSF
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NFC
0 - 3
CSF
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
IFC
2 - 0
CSF
27%
23%
51%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -2 |