Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 1-5
Crusaders vs Brommapojkarna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
BRO
4 - 0
CRU
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
FKE
1 - 2
CRU
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 1
FKE
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CLI
3 - 2
CRU
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Brommapojkarna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ATV
3 - 2
BRO
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
BRO
4 - 0
CRU
31%
24%
45%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
ELF
2 - 2
BRO
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
BRO
2 - 0
VAA
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
BRO
1 - 1
MFF
16%
23%
62%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |