Crusaders vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CRU
3 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CRU
0 - 2
LIN
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
16%
22%
62%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 2
CRU
26%
24%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 1
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
ARD
2 - 0
BAL
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 2
BAL
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
GLE
3 - 0
BAL
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 0
CLI
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 4
LIM
9%
15%
76%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |