Crusaders vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 1
DUN
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 1
CRU
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 1
LOU
86%
11%
4%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CRU
2 - 1
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 1
ARD
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GLE
0 - 1
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 3
COL
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 0
DUN
63%
21%
17%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 2
CLI
19%
24%
58%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |