Crusaders vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 0
BAL
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
GLE
2 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
DUN
2 - 1
CRU
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
CRU
2 - 2
NEW
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
POR
4 - 0
CRU
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
ARD
0 - 0
LIM
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
COL
4 - 1
ARD
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ARD
0 - 0
CLI
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
INS
0 - 1
ARD
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2004 |
ARD
4 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |