Crusaders vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
CRU
4 - 2
LIN
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1996 |
CRU
1 - 1
CLI
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
ARD
0 - 2
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
GLE
3 - 1
ARD
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
ARD
2 - 2
CLI
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
ARD
1 - 2
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1996 |
BAN
0 - 1
ARD
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |