Crusaders vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
GLE
4 - 0
CRU
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
CRU
3 - 0
LIN
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 0
CLI
56%
23%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
ARD
1 - 1
POR
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
GLE
3 - 0
ARD
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
ARD
3 - 0
CLI
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
ARD
2 - 3
LIN
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
BAN
2 - 1
ARD
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |