Cruiz vs CF Riscani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8.9%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
2.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
14º
14º
14º
4
11º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 2
ARO
87%
9%
4%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
CRU
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 2
CRU
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CRU
7 - 2
CFR
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SIN
4 - 2
CRU
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CF Riscani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
CFR
1 - 5
FCO
6%
10%
84%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VCU
3 - 1
CFR
88%
8%
4%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CFR
1 - 2
FCT
13%
17%
71%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
EFV
5 - 1
CFR
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CFR
1 - 5
CFS
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -2 |