Croydon Athletic vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croydon Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 3
CRO
23%
24%
53%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
MOL
2 - 1
CRO
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
CRO
3 - 3
WHY
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
CRO
5 - 0
FLE
59%
21%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
MET
3 - 3
CRO
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
WHY
0 - 1
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 3
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 3
MET
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
DOR
2 - 1
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
FLE
2 - 3
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |