Crotone U19 vs Virtus Entella U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
59.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
16º
15º
47
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 3
CRO
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 1
CCS
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
CRO
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 2
CES
15%
18%
68%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 1
CRO
61%
20%
20%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 0
MNP
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 2
VIR
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 3
PER
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PES
0 - 2
VIR
27%
22%
52%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VIR
0 - 3
PIS
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |