Crotone U19 vs Ternana U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+108%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
12º
8º
28
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
79% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
LEC
3 - 0
CRO
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 0
CRO
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 2
REG
44%
21%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 1
CRO
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CRO
0 - 0
PIS
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TER
0 - 1
USV
8%
14%
77%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BEN
3 - 1
TER
85%
10%
4%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TER
0 - 2
PIS
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CCS
1 - 0
TER
76%
14%
9%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TER
1 - 1
SPE
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |