Crotone U19 vs Roma U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CRO
3 - 1
FRO
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TER
1 - 2
CRO
35%
24%
42%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CRO
3 - 2
FRO
56%
22%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 2
CRO
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CRO
2 - 3
ATA
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Roma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ROM
2 - 0
INT
33%
24%
44%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
APO
0 - 3
ROM
8%
14%
78%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
PIS
0 - 3
ROM
14%
17%
70%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAG
2 - 5
ROM
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ROM
2 - 3
VIR
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |