Crotone U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
67.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
16º
15º
70
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 1
CRO
61%
20%
20%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 1
TER
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 1
CRO
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
CRO
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 3
PES
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CES
4 - 1
PER
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 0
CES
57%
21%
23%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 5
CES
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CES
1 - 0
SAL
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 1
CES
39%
22%
38%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |