Crotone U19 vs SSC Bari U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
16º
16º
31
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PES
4 - 0
CRO
70%
17%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CRO
2 - 2
PER
39%
23%
39%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
PIS
1 - 1
CRO
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CRO
2 - 3
FRO
17%
20%
62%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
PAL
5 - 2
CRO
49%
23%
29%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
PIS
2 - 1
BAR
52%
23%
26%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BAR
0 - 0
SPE
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 0
CCS
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PES
3 - 2
BAR
63%
19%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAL
39%
22%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |