Crotone U19 vs Ascoli U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
60.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
16º
15º
47
5º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 3
VIR
20%
21%
60%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 3
CRO
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 1
CCS
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
CRO
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 2
CES
15%
18%
68%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 1
PER
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CCS
1 - 3
ASC
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 0
NAP
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
SPE
4 - 0
ASC
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 3
PAL
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |