Cronenberger vs Wulfrath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cronenberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
KFI
4 - 2
CRO
20%
22%
59%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
DUS
18%
23%
59%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
WUP
4 - 0
CRO
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 2
SFB
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
JDH
2 - 2
CRO
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wulfrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
WUL
0 - 3
BOS
25%
23%
52%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
KFC
5 - 0
WUL
87%
10%
4%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
WUL
0 - 1
SWE
12%
19%
69%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RWO
1 - 0
WUL
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
WUL
0 - 3
GRA
14%
20%
66%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |