Cronenberger vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
67.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cronenberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
KFI
2 - 2
CRO
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 4
HIL
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SFB
1 - 1
CRO
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 0
CRO
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
STR
5 - 1
CRO
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
DUS
0 - 0
VEL
14%
18%
68%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
DUS
2 - 1
VEL
22%
19%
59%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VFB
4 - 1
VEL
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
SCH
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +3 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 0
STR
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |