CS Msaken vs Sporting Ben Arous analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
9º
9º
26
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Msaken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
CSH
4 - 0
CRO
58%
26%
16%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 1
EGS
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ZAR
0 - 0
CRO
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 0
STA
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
JSO
4 - 0
CRO
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 0
EMM
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
STA
1 - 0
SPO
63%
26%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
KAL
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MOK
2 - 1
SPO
54%
24%
21%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
SPO
34%
28%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |