Croesyceiliog vs Newport YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croesyceiliog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
CRO
1 - 3
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
CRO
3 - 0
DIN
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +6 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
CRO
1 - 4
BRY
31%
24%
44%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CRO
3 - 0
CWM
55%
22%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CRO
1 - 2
PON
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Newport YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
NWP
1 - 2
DIN
33%
25%
43%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
CWM
4 - 1
NWP
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 1
NWP
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
NWP
2 - 4
CAL
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CAM
2 - 0
NWP
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |