Croesyceiliog vs Newport YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croesyceiliog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
GOY
3 - 2
CRO
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
PON
0 - 0
CRO
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 2
BAR
71%
18%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
BRI
7 - 0
CRO
47%
24%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CRO
3 - 3
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newport YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
NWP
2 - 2
PON
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 4
NWP
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
NWP
2 - 2
BRI
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
MAE
1 - 3
NWP
60%
22%
19%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
NWP
1 - 0
BRY
40%
25%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |