Croesyceiliog vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croesyceiliog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
DIN
3 - 1
CRO
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 1
TAF
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
PON
1 - 2
CRO
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 3
TON
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
5 - 1
CAL
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
TON
0 - 2
CAR
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAM
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
5 - 1
CWM
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
ABE
2 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |